Ammonia volatization from conventional and stabilized fertilizers, agronomic aspects and microbiological attributes in a Brazilian coffee crop system.

We aimed to quantify the N losses through volatilization of the main conventional and stabilized N fertilizers applied in coffee plantations. Additionally, we also assessed microbiological attributes of the soil (microbial biomass carbon (MBC); microbial biomass nitrogen (MBN); microbial basal respiration (MBR); metabolic quotient (qCO2); urease, ß-glucosidase, acid phosphatase, and arylsulfatase activities) and agronomic aspects of the crop (N content in the leaves and beans, yield, and N exportation by the beans). Treatments consisted of the combination of three fertilizers (ammonium nitrate - AN, conventional urea - U, and urea with N- (n-butyl) thiophosphoric triamide (NBPT) - UNBPT, and five doses of N (0, 150, 275, 400, and 525 kg ha-1 year-1 of N), with four replicates, totalling 60 experimental plots. In the two crop seasons evaluated, daily and cumulative losses of N-NH3 from the split fertilizer applications were influenced by the N fertilizer technologies. The application of U resulted in losses of 22.0% and 22.8% for the doses of 150 and 400 kg ha-1 year-1 of N. This means that 66 and 182 kg ha-1 of N-NH3 were lost, respectively, at the end of six fertilizations with U. UNBPT reduced urease activity and N-NH3 losses compared to conventional urea, avoiding the volatilization of 15.9 and 24.3 kg ha-1 of N. As for AN, N-NH3 losses did not exceed 1% of the applied dose, regardless of the weather conditions during the fertilization. Urease activity was higher on days of maximum NH3 volatilization. There was an effect of the N sources (NS), soil sampling time (ST), and their interaction (NS × ST) on the MBN and arylsulfatase activity. The N sources also influenced the MBC and the qCO2. A substantial amount of N was removed from the system by the beans and husks of the harvested fruits. Our study showed that N fertilizer technologies are interesting options to reduce N-NH3 losses by volatilization, increase N retention in the soil, and improve microbiological attributes and the sustainability of coffee production systems.

Technologies for Fertilizers and Management Strategies of N-Fertilization in Coffee Cropping Systems to Reduce Ammonia Losses by Volatilization.

The aim of this study was to quantify NH3-N losses from conventional, stabilized, slow-release, and controlled-release N fertilizers in a coffee field. The N fertilizers analyzed were prilled urea, prilled urea dissolved in water, ammonium sulfate (AS), ammonium nitrate (AN), urea + Cu + B, urea + adhesive + CaCO3, and urea + NBPT (all with three split applications), as well as blended N fertilizer, urea + elastic resin, urea-formaldehyde, and urea + polyurethane (all applied only once). NH3-N losses (mean of two crop seasons) were statistically higher for urea + adhesive + CaCO3 (27.9% of applied N) in comparison with the other treatments. Loss from prilled urea (23.7%) was less than from urea + adhesive + CaCO3. Losses from urea + NBPT (14.5%) and urea + Cu + B (13.5%) were similar and lower than those from prilled urea. Urea dissolved in water (4.2%) had even lower losses than those treatments, and the lowest losses were observed for AS (0.6%) and AN (0.5%). For the single application fertilizers, higher losses occurred for urea + elastic resin (5.8%), blended N fertilizer (5.5%), and urea + polyurethane (5.2%); and urea-formaldehyde had a lower loss (0.5%). Except for urea + adhesive + CaCO3, all N-fertilizer technologies reduced NH3-N losses compared to prilled urea.

Tendência do número de casos da tuberculose no estado de Minas Gerais / Trend in the number of cases of tuberculosis in the state of Minas Gerais

Objetivo: mostrar uma análise do comportamento e da previsão da série referente aos casos confirmados de tuberculose (TB), notificados no sistema de informação de agravos de notificação no estado de Minas Gerais (MG). Métodos: análise de séries temporais e estudo do efeito da sazonalidade, tendência e intervenção. Os dados são mensais relativos ao número de casos confirmados de tuberculose, concernente aos anos de 2001 a 2019, que foram retirados do site DATASUS. Resultados: ajustou-se um modelo SARIMA(1,1,0)(1,0,0)12, o qual o mais adequado foi o que considerou as possíveis intervenções na série. Conclusão: não deve haver um aumento nem queda brusca no número de casos de TB em MG no ano de 2020.

Objective: to show an analysis of the behavior and forecast of the series referring to confirmed cases of tuberculosis (TB), notified in the information system for notification of diseases in the state of Minas Gerais (MG). Methods: analysis of time series and study of the effect of seasonality, trend and intervention. The data are monthly regarding the number of confirmed cases of tuberculosis, concerning the years 2001 to 2019, which were removed from the DATASUS website. Results: a model SARIMA(1,1,0)(1,0,0)12 was adjusted, the most appropriate being the one that considered the possible interventions in the series. Conclusion: there should not be an increase in the sharp drop in the number of TB cases in MG in 2020.

Adjusting the growth curve of sugarcane varieties using nonlinear models / Ajuste da curva de crescimento de variedades de cana-de-açúcar utilizando modelos não lineares

ABSTRACT: Assessing sugarcane (Saccharum spp.) stalk growth helps to adequately manage the phenological stages of the crop. The aim of this study was to describe the height-growth curve of four sugarcane varieties (RB92579, RB93509, RB931530 and SP79-1011), in irrigated plant-cane and ratoon cane plantations, using the Logistic and Gompertz nonlinear models, while considering all deviations from assumptions. The model parameters were estimated based on the least squares method using the Gauss-Newton algorithm. To select the most suitable model, nonlinear measures, adjusted coefficient of determination (R2 adj), residual standard deviation (RSD), and corrected Akaike information criterion (AICc) were used. Based on the best models, stalk height growth rates and crop phenological stages were determined using critical points. All tests were performed in the free software environment for statistical computing and graphics, R. In general, the Logistic and Gompertz models without AR(1) better described the plant-cane and ratoon cane stalk height, respectively. All varieties showed early growth, and the RB92579 variety presented higher rates in both cycles.

RESUMO: A avaliação do crescimento dos colmos de cana-de-açúcar (Saccharum spp.) ajuda a adequar o manejo com as fases fenológicas da cultura. Objetivou-se com este trabalho descrever a curva de crescimento da altura de quatro variedades de cana-de-açúcar (RB92579, RB93509, RB931530 e SP79-1011), nos cultivos de cana planta e cana soca irrigados, utilizando os modelos não lineares Logístico e Gompertz, e considerando eventuais desvios de pressupostos. A estimação dos parâmetros dos modelos foi feita com base no método dos mínimos quadrados utilizando o Algoritmo de Gauss-Newton. Para selecionar o modelo mais adequado foram utilizadas as medidas de não linearidade, o coeficiente de determinação ajustado (R2 aj), o desvio padrão residual (DPR) e o critério de informação de Akaike corrigido (AICc). Com base nos melhores modelos foram determinadas as taxas de crescimento da altura dos colmos e as fases fenológicas da cultura por meio dos pontos críticos. Todas as análises foram realizadas no software estatístico R. No geral, os modelos Logístico e Gompertz sem AR(1) descreveram melhor a altura dos colmos em cana planta e cana soca, respectivamente. Todas as variedades apresentaram crescimento precoce, a variedade RB92579 apresentou maiores taxas em ambos os ciclos.

Growth curve for height at withers and body length of Mangalarga Marchador horses / Curva de crescimento em altura na cernelha e comprimento corporal de equinos Mangalarga Marchador

ABSTRACT: This study aimed to evaluate the logistic and quadratic response plateau models to describe the growth of Mangalarga Marchador horses to identify the model that best describes growth for the variables height at withers and body length. Data were used from 230 horses aged 6 to 176 months, divided by sex and 16 age classes. All computational work was performed using R statistical software. The logistic model was the best suited to express growth in height at withers and body length of male and female Mangalarga Marchadors aged 6 to 176 months. This allowed creating a table of reference values for these measurements over time based on the confidence interval of the model parameters. Estimates of height at withers obtained by the logistic model ranged from 144 to 154 cm in adult males and from 143 to 151 cm in adult females. For body length, values ranged from 146 to 156 cm in adult males and 143 to 156 cm in adult females. Females achieved stability in both height at withers and body length at earlier ages than did males.

RESUMO: O objetivo deste estudo foi avaliar os modelos logístico e platô de resposta quadrática na descrição do crescimento de equinos da raça Mangalarga Marchador identificando o que melhor descreve o crescimento das variáveis altura de cernelha e comprimento corporal. Foram utilizados dados de 230 equinos de 6 a 176 meses de idade que foram divididos por sexo e em 16 classes de idade. Toda a parte computacional envolvida foi realizada utilizando-se o software estatístico R. O modelo logístico foi o mais indicado para expressar o crescimento em altura na cernelha e comprimento corporal de machos e fêmeas da raça Mangalarga Marchador. Foi criada uma tabela de valores referência para estas medidas ao longo da idade com base no intervalo de confiança dos parâmetros deste modelo. Estimativas das alturas de cernelha adultas obtidas pelo modelo logístico variaram de 144 a 154 cm nos machos e de 143 a 151 cm para fêmeas. Já em comprimento corporal os valores adultos variaram de 146 a 156 cm nos machos e 143 a 156 cm para fêmeas. As fêmeas apresentam maior precocidade do que os machos para atingir a estabilidade em ambas variáveis estudadas.

The use of the nonlinear models in the growth of pears of 'Shinseiki' cultivar / O uso de modelos não lineares na descrição do crescimento de frutos de pereira cultivar 'Shinseiki'

ABSTRACT: The goal of this study was to elucidate the growth and development of the Asian pear fruit, on the grounds of length, diameter and fresh weight determined over time, using the non-linear Gompertz and Logistic models. The specifications of the models were assessed utilizing the R statistical software, via the least squares method and iterative Gauss-Newton process (DRAPER & SMITH, 2014). The residual standard deviation, adjusted coefficient of determination and the Akaike information criterion were used to compare the models. The residual correlations, observed in the data for length and diameter, were modeled using the second-order regression process to render the residuals independent. The logistic model was highly suitable in demonstrating the data, revealing the Asian pear fruit growth to be sigmoid in shape, showing remarkable development for three variables. It showed an average of up to 125 days for length and diameter and 140 days for fresh fruit weight, with values of 72mm length, 80mm diameter and 224g heavy fat.

RESUMO: Este trabalho teve por objetivo descrever o crescimento e desenvolvimento de frutos de pereira asiática, com base no comprimento, diâmetro e peso fresco obtidos ao longo do tempo, pelos modelos não lineares Gompertz e Logístico. Os parâmetros dos modelos foram estimados utilizando rotinas no software R, pelo método de mínimos quadrados e processo iterativo de Gauss-Newton (DRAPER & SMITH, 2014). Os modelos foram comparados utilizando o desvio padrão residual, coeficiente de determinação ajustado e o critério de informação de Akaike. A correlação residual presente nos dados de comprimento e diâmetro foi modelada por processo auto-regressivo de segunda ordem, tornando os resíduos independentes. O modelo Logístico mostrou-se mais adequado para descrever os dados, comprovando o caráter sigmoidal do crescimento da pera asiática com desenvolvimento acentuado das três variáveis, com até 125 dias para o comprimento e diâmetro e 140 dias para o peso fresco dos frutos, estabilizando-se, em média, com 72mm de comprimento, 80mm de diâmetro e 224g de peso fresco.

Nonlinear modeling growth body weight of Mangalarga Marchador horses / Modelagem não linear do crescimento em peso vivo de equinos da raça Mangalarga Marchador

ABSTRACT: The analysis of the growth and development of various species has been done using the growth curves of the specific animal based on non-linear models. The objective of the current study was to evaluate the fit of the Brody, Gompertz, Logistic and von Bertalanffy models to the cross-sectional data of the live weight of the MangalargaMarchador horses to identify the best model and make accurate predictions regarding the growth and maturity in the males and females of this breed. The study involved recording the weight of 214 horses, of which 94 were males and 120 were non-pregnant females, between 6 and 153 months of age. The parameters of the model were estimated by employing the method of least squares, using the iteratively regularized Gauss-Newton method and the R software package. Comparison of the models was done based on the following criteria: coefficient of determination (R²); Residual Standard Deviation (RSD); corrected Akaike Information Criterion (AICc). The estimated weight of the adult horses by the models ranged between 431kg and 439kg for males and between 416kg and 420kg for females. The growth curves were studied using the cross-sectional data collection method. For males the von Bertalanffymodel was found to be the most effective in expressing growth, while in females the Brody model was more suitable. The MangalargaMarchador females achieve adult body weight earlier than the males.

RESUMO: O estudo sobre curvas de crescimento animal com base em modelos não lineares tem sido utilizado para análise do crescimento e desenvolvimento de diversas espécies. Neste trabalho objetivou-se avaliar o ajuste dos modelos Brody, Gompertz, Logístico e vonBertalanffy a dados transversais de peso vivo de equinos Mangalarga Marchador, a fim de selecionar o melhor modelo e predizer sobre o crescimento e a maturidade de machos e fêmeas desta raça. Foram pesados 214 equinos, sendo 94 machos e 120 fêmeas não gestantes, com idade variando entre seis e 153 meses. A estimação dos parâmetros dos modelos foi realizada pelo método de mínimos quadrados, utilizando o processo iterativo de Gauss-Newton, seguindo rotinas do Software R. Os modelos foram comparados pelos critérios: coeficiente de determinação (R²); desvio padrão residual (DPR); critério de informação de Akaike corrigido (AICc). O peso adulto, estimado pelos modelos, variou entre 431kg e 439kg para os machos e entre 416kg e 420kg para fêmeas. O método transversal de obtenção de dados pode ser aplicado no estudo de curvas de crescimento. O modelo de vonBertalanffy foi o mais eficiente para expressar o crescimento nos machos, enquanto que para as fêmeas, o modelo Brody se mostrou mais apropriado. As fêmeas Mangalarga Marchador são mais precoces que os machos para atingir o peso vivo adulto.